明日の貴金属相場はどうなるか PART 242

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Expect Gold to Fall Towards $900 An Ounce In 2016 – ABN Amro

Tuesday December 01, 2015 14:45

(Kitco News) - Gold investors will have to wait at least one more year before they can expect to see a sustained recovery the gold market, according to analysts at ABN Amro.

In its 2016 gold outlook report, released Tuesday, the Dutch bank said that it expects to see more weakness in gold and silver at the start of 2016, with prices dropping
below $1,000 an ounce and $13.50 an ounce, respectively. The analysts added that they don’t expect to see prices pick up until mid-2017.

The biggest factor weighing on the gold market will be a stronger U.S. dollar and continued expectations the Federal Reserve tightening.

“We expect investors to continue to liquidate positions in the months ahead because of a higher US dollar and higher U.S. rates. It is likely that new lows
in prices will be reached before the end of the first quarter of 2016,” the analysts said in the report.

“We expect the Fed to raise rates very slowly in 2016, but even this scenario is not priced into markets. A rise in U.S. Treasury yields should push gold prices
towards USD 900 per ounce or even below in 2016 mainly because of investor position liquidation,” they added.